Also Analysten denken, das wenn Schwarz-Schilling dort auftaucht als Vize-könig, das sich wirklich Einiges ändern wird.

A new viceroy for Bosnia-Herzegovina

The official announcement on who is going to be the next High Representative in Bosnia-Herzegovina is not expected until 14 December at the next meeting of the Office for the High Representative's Peace Implementation Council meeting in Paris, timed to coincide with the 10th anniversary of the Dayton Peace Accords.

German Chancellor-Elect Angela Merkel chose Christian Schwarz-Schilling, a veteran Christian Democrat politician, shortly before the deadline for candidates on 29 October.

Insiders at Office for the High Representative and Bosnian analysts believe that any new strategy in BiH will be largely determined by the 'front office' - the advisors who accompany Schwarz-Schilling. One candidate touted for the new front office is Gerald Knaus, a young German expert on the Balkans who has worked for the International Crisis Group, the OHR and with Schwarz-Schilling in Bosnia. Knaus is widely tipped to play a key role in Schwarz-Schilling's policy-formation, the latter having already gone on record as favouring greater local involvement in Bosnian politics, long advocated by the European Stability Initiative.

However, preaching local empowerment is unlikely to break the stranglehold of the main ethno-nationalist political parties backed by powerful business interests that emerged from the wartime economy. The biggest challenges will be getting Bosnia's police reform process back on track and negotiating with its feuding politicians in an election year, as well the daunting and controversial task of re-writing Bosnia's 1995 constitution, blamed by most policy makers and officials for the country's biggest woes.